US could be under a dictatorship that will spark 'widespread violence' by 2030, expert warns

THE United States could fall to a right-wing dictatorship that would spark "widespread violence" by the year 2030, according to an expert's stark warning.

Canadian political science professor Thomas Homer-Dixon penned an essay where he explains why American democracy could be on its last breath.

Writing in the Globe and Mail, Homer-Dixon describes the election of Donald Trump as ushering in a world "where the absurd regularly becomes real and the horrible commonplace."

"By 2025, American democracy could collapse, causing extreme domestic political instability, including widespread civil violence.

"By 2030, if not sooner, the country could be governed by a rightwing dictatorship," writes Homer-Dixon.

The author theorizes about the possibility that Trump could return to power by undemocratic means, such as Republican-held state legislatures refusing to accept the win of a Democratic presidential candidate.

He cites the January 6 attack on the US Capitol as an example of how some citizens see attacking democracy as a way to preserve it.

These people, Homer-Dixon explains, believed their actions were “patriotic” and necessary to save US democracy.

He also warns Canadians that the collapse of American democracy would have serious consequences for Canada, saying “A terrible storm is coming from the south, and Canada is woefully unprepared."

“We must focus on the urgent problem of what to do about the likely unraveling of democracy in the United States," Homer-Dixon adds.

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"We need to start by fully recognizing the magnitude of the danger. If Mr Trump is re-elected, even under the more optimistic scenarios the economic and political risks to our country will be innumerable.”

Characters such as Fox News' Tucker Carlson and Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene have, Homer-Dixon says, turned the Republican party “into a near-fascist personality cult that’s a perfect instrument for wrecking democracy.”

The expert explores how Canada could become entangled if the US did lose its democracy and was ruled by a regime that persecuted its political opponents.

He ponders: "What happens, for instance, if high-profile political refugees fleeing persecution arrive in our country and the US regime demands them back. Do we comply?”

"Democracy is an institution, but underpinning that institution is a vital set of beliefs and values," Homer-Dixon concludes.

"If a substantial enough fraction of a population no longer holds those beliefs and values, then democracy can’t survive."

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